Amazon.fr :Commentaires en ligne: Fooled by Randomness: The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets (English Edition)

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Seemingly easy to read, don’t get fooled

Commenté en France le 9 juillet 2020

There is great value in reading NN Taleb, but it is not “face value”. If you expect insights which you can copy paste into your life to become a better person, better trader or whatever ... You will be disappointed.

Fooled by Randomness is an invitation to reason, to think beyond the appearances, it contains various anecdotes from the life of NN Taleb, as well as hitorical ones. These are meant to trigger thought on the concepts which are laid in the book, and make you ponder on how randomness affects your life and the ones surrounding you.

It is seemingly easy to read, but if you want to get the real value out of it you will need to pause, dig and take the extra mile of thought. NN Taleb points to the source, but it is up to you to take the additional steps to drink from it.

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OTTF

Fooled by emptiness

Commenté en France le 26 décembre 2009

Au final, ce livre sonne plutôt creux. Du pseudo philosophique, un peu de maths et quelques anecdotes plus tard, il n'y a pas grand chose à retenir de ce livre écrit dans un style peu lisible.

Autant relire "random walk".

Je tire cependant de ce livre un seul point édifiant - et très important : plus on cherche à observer souvent la performance d'un investissement, plus on risque de voir du bruit plutôt que la performance intrinsèque.

Rien que ce point mérite les 3 étoiles.

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Malja0099

Très intéressant !!

Commenté en France le 28 octobre 2019

Achat vérifié

Très intéressant pour changer ton business mindset.

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T.T

Ignore the hate as there is value to be gained by reading this.

Commenté au Royaume-Uni le 1 octobre 2019

Achat vérifié

I had my doubts about buying this book initially due to some of the hate Taleb seems to get for his style. Having now finished reading this book, I will admit that if you can get past the author's arrogance in some places and overlook these as mere human flaws, then you will gain value from his insights. As I am both a long term investor & short term trader, I found the real-life explanations of the psychological processes of Nassim's trader colleagues worth the read alone. Hearing what led up to these traders having such an amazing run over many years and then what caused them to blow up their firms accounts enables small time investors like myself to avoid their mindset.

This was my first Nassim Taleb book I've read, so I can't compare to his two main books Anti-fragile & The Black Swan, although I will be reading those next.

13 personnes ont trouvé cela utile

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Harald

Dry theory explained through exciting stories.

Commenté au Royaume-Uni le 16 juin 2020

Achat vérifié

Taleb comes across as an arrogant writer but if you look beyond it then you discover a brilliant theory, relevant for everyone, who is interested in randomness, statistics, correlation/causation, etc.

Is it only for numberphiles? No, it probably is too basic for the ‘initiated’; even though they still might enjoy the examples and life stories.

Everything is well explained in a simple manner; probably also because Taleb is not as brilliant as he thinks.

The outcome is a practical theory, exciting, and filled with anecdotes of an unusual character.

Lets put it this way, this book makes a dry theory entertaining and accessible to everyone. That should be applauded.

5 personnes ont trouvé cela utile

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Dr Dave. H

An interesting book

Commenté au Royaume-Uni le 14 août 2019

Achat vérifié

I enjoyed this book, something quite different to the type of books I normally read. I particularly liked the model used on chance and randomness. I applied it (theoretically) to the chances of detection across different types of crime (i.e., burglary and murder) when I gave a presentation to some police officers from various forces at UWE in Bristol. I don't think they agreed with my argument. Nevertheless, understanding these things in a different way to their perspective I'm still optimistic that it is a viable theory on non-apprehended offenders.

3 personnes ont trouvé cela utile

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Joachim O.

Not new but still useful

Commenté au Royaume-Uni le 13 octobre 2011

Achat vérifié

The basic concepts of this book are not new but still a very good read which makes you more aware about human psychology how we behave under randomness. We all tend to attribute "good outcomes" to our skills and "bad outcomes" to something else. I also liked his depictions of black swan events. Imagine a gun with 1000 chambers and only one bullet. Every time you pull the trigger and survive, you get 1000 USD, otherwise, well...would you play the game? After reading the book, you will also watch and read news in a different way given that you bother listening to them at all.

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Jan Latusek

Badly written, but I agree the basic premise.

Commenté au Royaume-Uni le 13 octobre 2012

Achat vérifié

This is a badly written book. The author more or less admits this in his intro. It reads like a sloppily assembled unsorted draft. Taleb is very full of himself. And he throws in the name of every philosopher he can think of in support of each point he is making.

But his basic premise - that randomness is far more significant than most analysts care to acknowledge, and that we are wired up to disbelieve randomness while instinctively falling for anything resembling a pattern (thanks to an inherited survival mechanism that we cannot shake off), is one that I've always subscribed to, so I ploughed through it.

I was brought up not to deface books. But I long ago switched to reading with a flourescent yellow highlighter pen in hand, marking key paragraphs along the way. I have yet to reread the sections I marked, but there were many. I wouldn't want to have to read the whole shambolic book again to find them if not marked. He sometimes seems unsure if he's made certain points clearly - so he has another go at some of them from a different angle. He also throws in the odd social or political comment or two whether strictly relevant or not.

As someone who prefers concise, tightly edited writings, I found this book irritating at times. It is arrogant of the author to presume that we might part with money for something he hasn't bothered to properly structure - like a host who dumps the crockery, cutlery and food onto a table in a heap and leaves his guests to find what they need. But I recommend it nevertheless.

2 personnes ont trouvé cela utile

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colin bond

Randomness the new normal

Commenté au Royaume-Uni le 28 juin 2016

Achat vérifié

A little long winded in places, but if you stay the course, opens a new dimension to everyday life changing events that seem to be against all the odds or probability. Nothing is what it seems and the crowd and consensus are eventually destroyed.. or proved wrong. as in life it is better to be lucky than smart in all major events and leave your ego at the door. Idea provoking - interesting read.

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Bernie2111

The truth about chance.

Commenté au Royaume-Uni le 15 mai 2013

Achat vérifié

Ive rated this four because I am still reading it. It is a little gem because I really think the book explains about the 'Law of Chance' arguing about cause and effect. Its a book that is really aimed for the person playing the Stock market, but could be suited to the person that backs the horses. It teaches the individual about behaviour and its good/ bad influence in making decisions that can benefit or mar the next decision.

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Hector

An interesting point of view, expressed in an entertaining way.

Commenté au Royaume-Uni le 31 mars 2014

Achat vérifié

I really enjoyed this book. First of all I liked his point of view, which he puts forward in a clear and forthright way with dramatic illustrations that I accepted were based on his experience. Secondly I liked the style which is entertaining rather than pedantic. I respect this guy's success and am only too happy to learn from it. Criticisms that the author is egotistical, overbearing, unrealistic, uninformative and all the rest of it are to me wide of the mark. If you want a nice textbook on statistics, don't read this book. But if you want an exercise in life skills you will not be disappointed.

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ROBIN

Revolutionary for non statisticians

Commenté au Royaume-Uni le 7 février 2021

Achat vérifié

For me there is too much philosophy and not enough maths. How much a part did randomness play in its success?

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